Bandwagon
Also known as: bw, appeal-to-popularity, popularity
Treating how many people believe a claim as evidence that the claim is true.
Share: also:
In plain terms
The bandwagon argues that a claim is true because lots of people accept it, or that a choice is right because lots of people are making it. Popularity substitutes for evidence. "Everyone's doing it" becomes the case for doing it.
Also called appeal to popularity or argumentum ad populum.
Why it's fallacious
Truth doesn't tally votes. Plenty of things most people once believed turned out to be wrong: that heavier objects fall faster, that the sun orbits the earth, that ulcers are caused by stress. The number of people who held those views never moved the underlying physics or biology. What eventually changed minds was evidence, and evidence is what the bandwagon skips.
The move still persuades because humans are social animals. Conforming to group belief is cognitively cheap, and the conformity pressure is often invisible to the people feeling it. Recognizing the shape of the appeal is the first defense against it.
Canonical example
"Over ten million copies of this diet book have been sold. It can't be wrong."
Ten million sales tell us something: the book is well-marketed, its promise is appealing, and a lot of people tried it. They don't tell us the diet works. People buy books on many topics that turn out to be mistaken. Popularity is data about demand, not about truth.
Counter-example (not a fallacy)
"Ninety-eight percent of climate scientists who publish in the field agree that human activity is driving recent warming. That near-unanimity reflects the fact that the same conclusion emerges across different data sources, methods, and research groups, which is hard to explain if the science were weak."
This isn't a bandwagon. The argument isn't "many scientists believe it, therefore it's true." It's "many independent scientists, working with different methods, have converged on the same conclusion, which is informative about the evidence." The claim is about what produced the agreement, not about the mere count of agreeing people. A convergence of independent investigators is meaningful. A convergence of strangers on social media isn't the same thing.
How to fix it
If you've been linked here, check whether your case for the claim was the popularity itself or something underneath it. The fix is to make the underlying case: why are so many people doing or believing X? Is it because the evidence is good, the product works, the policy is effective? Lead with that reason. Popularity can be supporting evidence (lots of independent investigators converging on the same answer is meaningful), but it shouldn't be the whole case. If you can't articulate why a thing is right beyond "lots of people think so," you don't yet have an argument.
If you're on the receiving end, ask what would change if everyone switched. "If half the believers flipped tomorrow, would that make the claim less true?" If yes, the claim is social, not factual. If no, popularity wasn't doing the work in the first place.