Cognitive biases
Predictable patterns in how the mind distorts judgment — useful to name, hard to avoid.
Confirmation Bias
The tendency to notice, remember, and trust evidence that supports what you already believe.
Dunning-Kruger Effect
A pattern where people with limited competence in a domain tend to overestimate their ability in that domain.
Gambler's Fallacy
Believing that past random outcomes change the odds of future independent ones.
Sunk Cost Fallacy
Continuing a course of action because of what has already been spent on it, rather than what it still offers.
Survivorship Bias
Drawing conclusions from the things that made it through while ignoring the ones that didn't.